AMathematicianPlaysTheStockMarket - (EPUB全文下载)

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Table of Contents 
Title Page
Dedication
Chapter 1 - Anticipating Others’ Anticipations
Falling in Love with WorldCom
Being Right Versus Being Right About the Market
My Pedagogical Cruelty
Common Knowledge, Jealousy, and Market Sell-Offs
Chapter 2 - Fear, Greed, and Cognitive Illusions
Averaging Down or Catching a Falling Knife?
Emotional Overreactions and Homo Economicus
Behavioral Finance
Psychological Foibles, A List
Self-Fulfilling Beliefs and Data Mining
Rumors and Online Chatrooms
Pump and Dump, Short and Distort
Chapter 3 - Trends, Crowds, and Waves
Technical Analysis: Following the Followers
The Euro and the Golden Ratio
Moving Averages, Big Picture
Resistance and Support and All That
Predictability and Trends
Technical Strategies and Blackjack
Winning Through Losing?
Chapter 4 - Chance and Efficient Markets
Geniuses, Idiots, or Neither
Efficiency and Random Walks
Pennies and the Perception of Pattern
A Stock-Newsletter Scam
Decimals and Other Changes
Benford’s Law and Looking Out for Number One
The Numbers Man—A Screen Treatment
Chapter 5 - Value Investing and Fundamental Analysis
e is the Root of All Money
The Fundamentalists’ Creed: You Get What You Pay For
Ponzi and the Irrational Discounting of the Future
Average Riches, Likely Poverty
Fat Stocks, Fat People, and P/E
Contrarian Investing and the Sports Illustrated Cover Jinx
Accounting Practices, WorldCom’s Problems
Chapter 6 - Options, Risk, and Volatility
Options and the Calls of the Wild
The Lure of Illegal Leverage
Short-Selling, Margin Buying, and Familial Finances
Are Insider Trading and Stock Manipulation So Bad?
Expected Value, Not Value Expected
What’s Normal? Not Six Sigma
Chapter 7 - Diversifying Stock Portfolios
A Reminiscence and a Parable
Are Stocks Less Risky Than Bonds?
The St. Petersburg Paradox and Utility
Portfolios: Benefiting from the Hatfields and McCoys
Diversification and Politically Incorrect Funds
Beta—Is It Better?
Chapter 8 - Connectedness and Chaotic Price Movements
Insider Trading and Subterranean Information Processing
Trading Strategies, Whim, and Ant Behavior
Chaos and Unpredictability
Extreme Price Movements, Power Laws, and the Web
Economic Disparities and Media Disproportions
Chapter 9 - From Paradox to Complexity
The Paradoxical Efficient Market Hypothesis
The Prisoner’s Dilemma and the Market
Pushing the Complexity Horizon
Game Theory and Supernatural Investor/Psychologists
Absurd Emails and the WorldCom Denouement
Bibliography
Index
Copyright Page
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