TheBlackSwan_TheImpactoftheHighlyImproba.epub - (EPUB全文下载)

文件大小：1.0 mb。
文件格式：epub 格式。
书籍内容：

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

THE BLACK SWAN
The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Contents
Prologue
On the Plumage of Birds
What You Do Not Know
Experts and “Empty Suits”
Learning to Learn
A New Kind of Ingratitude
Life Is Very Unusual
Plato and the Nerd
Too Dull to Write About
The Bottom Line
Chapters Map
PART ONE: UMBERTO ECO’S ANTILIBRARY, OR HOW WE SEEK VALIDATION
Chapter 1: The Apprenticeship of an Empirical Skeptic
Anatomy of a Black Swan
On Walking Walks
“Paradise” Evaporated
The Starred Night
History and the Triplet of Opacity
Nobody Knows What’s Going On
History Does Not Crawl, It Jumps
Dear Diary: On History Running Backward
Education in a Taxicab
Clusters
Where Is the Show?
8¾ Lbs Later
The Four-Letter Word of Independence
Limousine Philosopher
Chapter 2: Yevgenia’s Black Swan
Chapter 3: The Speculator and the Prostitute
The Best (Worst) Advice
Beware the Scalable
The Advent of Scalability
Scalability and Globalization
Travels Inside Mediocristan
The Strange Country of Extremistan
Extremistan and Knowledge
Wild and Mild
The Tyranny of the Accident
Chapter 4: One Thousand and One Days, or How Not to Be a Sucker
How to Learn from the Turkey
Trained to Be Dull
A Black Swan Is Relative to Knowledge
A Brief History of the Black Swan Problem
Sextus the (Alas) Empirical
Algazel
The Skeptic, Friend of Religion
I Don’t Want to Be a Turkey
They Want to Live in Mediocristan
Chapter 5: Confirmation Shmonfirmation!
Zoogles Are Not All Boogles
Evidence
Negative Empiricism
Counting to Three
Saw Another Red Mini!
Not Everything
Back to Mediocristan
Chapter 6: The Narrative Fallacy
On the Causes of My Rejection of Causes
Splitting Brains
A Little More Dopamine
Andrey Nikolayevich’s Rule
A Better Way to Die
Remembrance of Things Not Quite Past
The Madman’s Narrative
Narrative and Therapy
To Be Wrong with Infinite Precision
Dispassionate Science
The Sensational and the Black Swan
Black Swan Blindness
The Pull of the Sensational
The Shortcuts
Beware the Brain
How to Avert the Narrative Fallacy
Chapter 7: Living in the Antechamber of Hope
Peer Cruelty
Where the Relevant Is the Sensational
Nonlinearities
Process over Results
Human Nature, Happiness, and Lumpy Rewards
The Antechamber of Hope
Inebriated by Hope
The Sweet Trap of Anticipation
When You Need the Bastiani Fortress
El desierto de los tártaros
Bleed or Blowup
Chapter 8: Giacomo Casanova’s Unfailing Luck:
The Problem of Silent Evidence
The Story of the Drowned Worshippers
The Cemetery of Letters
How to Become a ............

书籍插图：

以上为书籍内容预览，如需阅读全文内容请下载EPUB源文件，祝您阅读愉快。