DemocracyforRealists - (EPUB全文下载)

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DEMOCRACY FOR REALISTS
Edited by Tali Mendelberg

DEMOCRACY FOR REALISTS
Why Elections Do Not Produce Responsive Government
CHRISTOPHER H. ACHEN
LARRY M. BARTELS
PRINCETON UNIVERSITY PRESS
PRINCETON AND OXFORD

Copyright © 2016 by Princeton University Press
Published by Princeton University Press,
41 William Street, Princeton, New Jersey 08540
In the United Kingdom: Princeton University Press,
6 Oxford Street, Woodstock, Oxfordshire OX20 1TW
press.princeton.edu
All Rights Reserved
ISBN 978-0-691-16944-6
Library of Congress Control Number 2016930927
British Library Cataloging-in-Publication Data is available
This book has been composed in Garamond Premier Pro
Printed on acid-free paper. ∞
Printed in the United States of America
1 3 5 7 9 10 8 6 4 2
For Monica, who will understand
.
— C.A.
For Denise, the love of my life, at last
.
— L.B.

Contents
List of Illustrations ix
Preface xiii
CHAPTER ONE

Democratic Ideals and Realities 1
CHAPTER TWO

The Elusive Mandate: Elections and the Mirage of Popular Control 21
CHAPTER THREE

Tumbling Down into a Democratical Republick: “Pure Democracy” and the Pitfalls of Popular Control 52
CHAPTER FOUR

A Rational God of Vengeance and of Reward? The Logic of Retrospective Accountability 90
CHAPTER FIVE

Blind Retrospection: Electoral Responses to Droughts, Floods, and Shark Attacks 116
CHAPTER SIX

Musical Chairs: Economic Voting and the Specious Present 146
CHAPTER SEVEN

A Chicken in Every Pot: Ideology and Retrospection in the Great Depression 177
CHAPTER EIGHT

The Very Basis of Reasons: Groups, Social Identities, and Political Psychology 213
CHAPTER NINE

Partisan Hearts and Spleens: Social Identities and Political Change 232
CHAPTER TEN

It Feels Like We’re Th inking: The Rationalizing Voter 267
CHAPTER ELEVEN

Groups and Power: Toward a Realist Theory of Democracy 297
APPENDIX

Retrospective Voting as Selection and Sanctioning 329
References 335
Index 371

Illustrations
FIGURES
Figure 1.1.
Democratic Aspirations and Perceptions, 2010–2014
5
Figure 2.1.
District Opinion and Representatives’ Roll Call Votes, 2011–2013
47
Figure 4.1.
Blind Retrospection Impairs Voters’ Judgment of Good Incumbents
103
Figure 4.2.
Blind Retrospection Erodes Incumbents’ Diligence
105
Figure 4.3.
American Mayoral Terms and Support for Fluoridation
111
Figure 5.1.
Support for Woodrow Wilson in New Jersey Counties, 1916 versus 1912
123
Figure 5.2.
Change in Woodrow Wilson’s Vote Share (1912–1916) in Co ............

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