Antifragile - (EPUB全文下载)
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Copyright © 2012 by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
All rights reserved.
Published in the United States by Random House, an imprint of The Random House Publishing Group, a division of Random House LLC, a Penguin Random House Company, New York
RANDOM HOUSE and colophon are registered trademarks of Random House LLC.
LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CATALOGING-IN-PUBLICATION DATATaleb, Nassim.Antifragile : things that gain from disorder / Nassim Nicholas Taleb.p. cm.Includes bibliographical references and index.ISBN 978-1-4000-6782-4eISBN: 978-0-679-64527-61. Uncertainty (Information theory)—Social aspects. 2. Forecasting. 3. Complexity (Philosophy) I. Title.Q375.T348 2012155.2’4—dc23 2012028697
Cover design: KeenanCover Illustration: based on a photograph© Malerapaso/iStockphoto
www.atrandom.com
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To Sarah Josephine Taleb
CONTENTS
Cover
Title Page
Copyright
Chapter Summaries and Map
Prologue
APPENDIX: The Triad, or A Map of the World and Things Along the Three Properties
BOOK I: THE ANTIFRAGILE: AN INTRODUCTION
Chapter 1: Between Damocles and Hydra
Half of Life Has No Name
Please Behead Me
On the Necessity of Naming
Proto-Antifragility
Domain Independence Is Domain Dependent
Chapter 2: Overcompensation and Overreaction Everywhere
How to Win a Horse Race
Antifragile Responses as Redundancy
On the Antifragility of Riots, Love, and Other Unexpected Beneficiaries of Stress
Please Ban My Book: The Antifragility of Information
Get Another Job
Chapter 3: The Cat and the Washing Machine
The Complex
Stressors Are Information
Equilibrium, Not Again
Crimes Against Children
Punished by Translation
Touristification
The Secret Thirst for Chance
Chapter 4: What Kills Me Makes Others Stronger
Antifragility by Layers
Evolution and Unpredictability
Organisms Are Populations and Populations Are Organisms
Thank You, Errors
Learning from the Mistakes of Others
How to Become Mother Teresa
Why the Aggregate Hates the Individual
What Does Not Kill Me Kills Others
Me and Us
National Entrepreneur Day
BOOK II: MODERNITY AND THE DENIAL OF ANTIFRAGILITY
Chapter 5: The Souk and the Office Building
Two Types of Professions
Lenin in Zurich
Bottom-up Variations
Away from Extremistan
The Great Turkey Problem
Twelve Thousand Years
War, Prison, or Both
Pax Romana
War or No War
Chapter 6: Tell Them I Love (Some) Randomness
Hungry Donkeys
Political Annealing
That Time Bomb Called Stability
The Second Step: Do (Small) Wars Save Lives?
What to Tell the Foreign Policy Makers
What Do We ............
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