TheFutureforInvestors_WhytheTriedandtheT.epub - (EPUB全文下载)

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ALSO BY JEREMY J. SIEGEL
Stocks for the Long Run
Copyright © 2005 by Jeremy J. Siegel
All rights reserved.
Published in the United States by Crown Business,
an imprint of the Crown Publishing Group,
a division of Random House, Inc., New York.
www.crownpublishing.com
CROWN BUSINESS is a trademark and the Rising Sun colophon
is a registered trademark of Random House, Inc.
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Siegel, Jeremy J.
The future for investors: why the tried and the true triumph
over the bold and the new / Jeremy J. Siegel.—1st ed.
1. Stocks. 2. Stocks—History. 3. Rate of return.
4. Stocks—Rate of return. I. Title.
HG
4661.S52 2005
332.63′22—dc22 2004022938
eISBN: 978-0-307-23664-7
v3.1
To Paul Samuelson, my teacher, and
Milton Friedman, my mentor, colleague, and friend
.
CONTENTS
Cover
Other Books by This Author
Title Page
Copyright
Dedication
Preface
PART ONE: UNCOVERING THE GROWTH TRAP
One: The Growth Trap
Two: Creative Destruction or Destruction of the Creative?
Three: The Tried and True:
Finding Corporate El Dorados
Four: Growth Is Not Return:
The Trap of Investing in High-Growth Sectors
PART TWO: OVERVALUING THE VERY NEW
Five: The Bubble Trap:
How to Spot and Avoid Market Euphoria
Six: Investing in the Newest of the New:
Initial Public Offerings
Seven: Capital Pigs:
Technology as Productivity Creator and Value Destroyer
Eight: Productivity and Profits:
Winning Managements in Losing Industries
PART THREE: SOURCES OF SHAREHOLDER VALUE
Nine: Show Me the Money:
Dividends, Stock Returns, and Corporate Governance
Ten: Reinvested Dividends:
The Bear Market Protector and Return Accelerator
Eleven: Earnings:
The Basic Source of Shareholder Returns
PART FOUR: THE AGING CRISIS AND THE COMING SHIFT IN GLOBAL ECONOMIC POWER
Twelve: Is the Past Prologue?
The Past and Future Case for Stocks
Thirteen: The Future That Cannot Be Changed:
The Coming Age Wave
Fourteen: Conquering the Age Wave:
Which Policies Will Work and Which Won’t
Fifteen: The Global Solution:
The True New Economy
PART FIVE: PORTFOLIO STRATEGIES
Sixteen: Global Markets and the World Portfolio
Seventeen: Strategies for the Future:
The D-I-V Directives
Appendix: The Complete Corporate History and
Returns of the Original S&P 500 Firms
Notes
Acknowledgments
About the Author

PREFACE
My first book, Stocks for the Long Run
, was published in 1994 when the U.S. market was midway through its longest and strongest bull market in history. My research showed th ............

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